Development of National and Provincial Macroeconomic and Industrial Scenarios for the Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) and the 3-year Employment Outlooks.

Summary of Opportunity: Development of National and Provincial Macroeconomic and Industrial Scenarios for the Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS)

PURPOSE & SCOPE:

• Procurement Objective: Employment and Social Development Canada (ESDC) seeks a private sector economic forecasting supplier to develop customized macroeconomic and industrial scenarios to support the Canadian Occupational Projection System (COPS) and the 3-year Employment Outlooks.
• Project Scope: The contractor will provide detailed macroeconomic and industrial forecasts over a 10-year horizon at national and provincial levels, offering expertise on historical, current, and future trends.
• Contract Type & Estimated Value: The contract term is from March 1, 2026, to February 28, 2027, with a possibility of 4 additional option years. A cap of $160,000 is set for the contract.

BUYER INFORMATION:

• Issuing Organization: Employment and Social Development Canada (ESDC)
• Contact Details: Patrick Blais, email: [email protected]
• Important Dates:
  • Posted Date: October 22, 2025
  • Proposal Due Date: December 3, 2025, at 2:00 PM EST
  • Performance Period: March 1, 2026 - February 28, 2027

MANDATORY REQUIREMENTS:

• Set-Aside Requirements: This procurement is conditionally set aside under the federal government Procurement Strategy for Indigenous Business. Responsive bids from two or more Indigenous businesses will set aside the procurement from international trade agreements.
• Mandatory Qualifications: Firms must demonstrate experience in macroeconomic and industrial forecasting relevant to the Canadian economy.

TECHNICAL REQUIREMENTS:

• Key Capabilities Needed: Expertise in economic forecasting, including the ability to provide thorough macroeconomic and industrial trend analysis at both national and provincial levels.
• Deliverables: Customized reports, the first deliverable is due on March 6, 2026, followed by additional reports, with the second deliverable on March 20, 2026, incorporating relevant data from the Q4 2025 National Accounts.
• Performance Standards: Must deliver forecasts and reports within designated timelines, leveraging firm’s own internal publications and methodologies.

PREFERRED QUALIFICATIONS:

• Nice-to-Have Certifications: Experience with similar government contracts and capability to integrate historical data effectively into forward-looking scenarios.
• Additional Evaluation Factors: Competitive advantage may stem from proven past performance in similar projects or strong connections to Indigenous business engagements.

KEY EVALUATION FACTORS:

• Evaluation Process: Proposals will be assessed based on expertise and history in providing economic forecasting, ability to meet deadlines, and adherence to budget constraints.
• Past Performance Requirements: Track record of previous relevant projects will significantly influence proposal evaluation.

This opportunity presents a unique chance for Indigenous economic forecasting firms with relevant expertise to engage with a critical government initiative aimed at informing Canada's labour and economic planning.